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Added on : 2018-04-16 18:23:07

The southwest monsoon, the lifeline for millions of farmers across India, is expected to be normal in 2018, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) said on Tuesday. Releasing its first forecast for 2018, the Met department said that rains would be 97 per cent of the Long Period Average (LPA), with a model error of plus or minus 5 per cent. Probability of normal to excess rains is 56% and that of below normal and deficit rain is 44%. A normal monsoon will not only aid agriculture growth but could have a positive impact on the overall rural economy crucial for the ruling BJP government as it faces critical state elections followed by the big National Polls in 2019. The negative fallout of a good monsoon followed by a good harvest is that unless it is supported by strong offtake measures it could lead to a glut in many crops plummeting farm incomes.

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